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Poker Game Odds
Without a doubt, Poker is one of the casino games in which understanding the odds can bring players a sizable advantage over opponents. Just like Kenny Rogers sang in The Gambler, it's all about knowing when to hold 'em, and when to fold 'em. The odds in the game of poker are similar to those of blackjack in that they are constantly shifting as cards are dealt. Figuring out what they are and whether or not they favor you at any given moment can be estimated by considering a couple variables. First, you know that your odds of landing a particular card, like the ten of diamonds, is 1 in 52. And that your odds of landing a card regardless of suit is 4 in 52. As cards are removed from the deck, the odds will shift accordingly. Depending on what game you are playing, there will be more or less information available to influence your appraisal of the odds at each stage. For instance, if you're playing common five-card stud, you will only be able to make predictions based upon the cards you have in your hand. For games like Pai Gow and three card poker where the dealer's cards are usually laid out for you, more access is provided to help determine your odds of making a hand.
Odds of Hands Occurring
Hand Ways Possible Odds
Royal Flush 4 1 in 649,740
Straight Flush 36 1 in 72,193
Four of a kind 624 1 in 4,165
Full House 3,744 1 in 694
Flush 5,108 1 in 509
Straight 10,200 1 in 255
Three of a kind 54,912 1 in 47
Two Pair 123,552 1 in 21
One Pair 1,098,240 1 in 2
No Pair 1,302,540 1 in 2
There are just under 2.6 million different hand combinations possible in poker. The chart to the right illustrates which ones are most and least likely to happen. As you can see, the high-ranking hand of Royal Flush is only expected to happen once every 649,740 hands while a low-ranking hand of a single pair should happen about every other hand.
Implied OddsWhen you're playing any one of the numerous variations of pot poker, where you and other players vie for the chips in the middle of the table, an important factor that helps determine the odds of making your hand is the implied odds. The implied odds refers to the risk, or chance of getting the card you need, versus amount of money in the pot plus the amount you can expect to get from fellow players. If you believe that there is enough loot in the pot (combined with what other players have yet to contribute) to cover the odds of you making your hand, then it is the right call to proceed with your bet. For example, if you have two pair and need a five or a jack to complete a full house, and you figure the odds of getting one of the remaining fives or jacks to be 8 to 1, then there should be at least eight times your wager sitting in the pot (or thereabouts by the time everybody is done).
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